This week's roundup: Reimagining Food Systems, Shifting gears, Ag Machinery-Case IH, Confidence Building Across the Sector, Aussie cattle farmers, and more updates. Plus, fresh listings, auction dates, and more from across Australian ag. Let's get into it →

Reimagining Food Systems With Private Sector Innovation

This piece is part of the weekly series “Growing Forward: Insights for Building Better Food and Agriculture Systems,” presented by the Global Food Institute at the George Washington University and the nonprofit organization Food Tank. Each installment highlights forward-thinking strategies to address today’s food and agriculture-related challenges with innovative solutions. To view more pieces in the series, click here.

In a small tilapia farm in Honduras, once faced nearly 100% fish mortality during warm seasons due to bacterial outbreaks. Through collaboration between Cargill aquaculture specialist Jeffry Palma, CARE, and local farmers, a targeted vaccination program and improved pond management training reduced mortality to just 2%—strengthening food security and community resilience.

This example reflects a broader push toward scalable, science-based solutions in global food systems. With only five years remaining to achieve the U.N. Sustainable Development Goals, progress depends on strong partnerships across sectors.

Cargill continues advancing crop genetics, disease resistance, and sustainable innovations—such as fermentation-produced stevia that significantly lowers land, water, and carbon impacts. The company has also eliminated industrially produced trans fats from its edible oils globally and is supporting methane-reducing feed solutions in beef production.

Farmer-first partnerships remain central. From biodigesters in Central America to regenerative agriculture programs in the United States and smallholder training in Malaysia, collaboration is driving measurable gains in productivity, sustainability, and income.

While no single sector can transform the food system alone, collective action between farmers, business, and development partners is helping build a more resilient and sustainable agricultural future.

📈 MARKET PULSE - 2026 Commodity Outlook:

Shifting gears after an exceptional run.

Report highlights

Agricultural Outlook

Momentum in the agricultural industry eased through late 2025, following an extended period of strong growth. Farm GDP fell 2.8% in Q3 as livestock production contracted, though real GVA remained 8.8% higher over the year. Production is expected to rebound slightly in Q4 on stronger wheat and canola harvests. In 2026, real farm GVA is expected to expand 0.4% in 2026, from a projected 9.6% last year, with livestock volumes forecast to fall as farmers rebuild herds and slaughter rates normalise from elevated levels.

Activity and exports

Lower production this year will weigh on export volumes. External demand is likely to be mixed this year. Demand for meat products is set to remain strong, although beef exporters will need to redirect some beef from China markets given the new quotas. Meanwhile, grain exporters face some headwinds from increased global supply.

Commodity prices

The Westpac Agriculture Commodity Price Index declined 1.8% q/q in Q4, but after strong growth for much of the year, the index was still up by 7.1% for 2025 as a whole. In 2026, we expect the Westpac Agriculture Commodity Price index to fall by an average 1.4% for the year as a whole. Meat prices are expected to drift lower over the year to be down around 13% from their peaks but remain 30 to 50% above 2024 average prices. Grain and dairy prices are also expected to trend lower for much of the year, amid an increase in global supply.

Non-labour costs

At the start of 2026, most prices have eased from last year’s peaks, and overall cost momentum is set to be slower in 2026. Diesel prices are projected to fall below 170¢/l in H2 2026 as global oil prices moderate and the A$ strengthens. We expect fertiliser prices to stabilise, with a modest easing through 2026 into 2027 as new production capacity comes online. Improved supply is also set to see further easing in feedstock prices this year. That said, the RBA monetary policy will be more restrictive, with the RBA reversing course from cutting rates last year.

How our key subsectors are looking
  • Beef: External demand remained exceptionally strong through 2025, with exports up 16% YTD to November and Chinese shipments up 46.5% YTD. ABARES forecasts beef production to fall 2.5% in 2025‑26 as restocker demand lifts and turn‑off rates ease. The Eastern Young Cattle Indicator averaged A$8.7/kg cwt early in 2026 and is expected to gradually drift lower in H2 as restocking peaks.

  • Sheep: Lamb slaughter fell 5–6% y/y as producers began flock rebuilding. Sheepmeat production is expected to decline 11–12% in 2025‑26, with export volumes down 6.5% y/y in November. Tight supply and strong US and Asian demand kept lamb prices elevated, with the NTLI averaging around 1,180c/kg in December. Prices are expected to remain high in the short term before gradually normalising over 2026, but still remain above the five‑year average.

  • Wheat: ABARES upgraded 2025‑26 wheat production to 35.6 million tonnes, up 4.3% on last year and the third‑highest on record. WA production rose 6%, offsetting a 14% fall in NSW. Strong global supply and rising end‑stocks have placed downward pressure on prices. ASW prices fell 6.9% in Q4 to around A$300/t early in 2026.

  • Dairy: National milk production fell 2.3% YTD to November, with Victoria down 3.1%. Production is expected to recover modestly in 2026 as feed costs ease and pastures improve. Global supply remains strong, with New Zealand and the US reporting increased output, driving the FAO Dairy Price Index to 137.5 in November, its lowest since September 2024. Prices are expected to stay subdued until global inventories are worked down.

  • Canola: Australian canola production rose 13% to an estimated 7.2 million tonnes for 2025‑26, with WA leading gains. Global production has also strengthened, easing previous supply tightness. Prices softened below A$800/t by Q4 2025. Exports to China resumed in November after nearly five years, with 629,000 tonnes shipped.

  • Sugar: Global sugar production is forecast to lift to 189 million tonnes, driven by strong output in Brazil and India. Australian production has been upgraded to around 4 million tonnes. Despite solid export volumes of 3.1–3.2 million tonnes expected, global ending stocks continue to rise, keeping prices near five‑year lows below US 15c/lb. Prices are expected to recover only gradually through H2 2026 as producers respond to weaker returns.

🚜 AG MACHINERY

Case IH debuts patriotic Heartland Magnum for America’s anniversary

The paint scheme on the Heartland Magnum was designed by a Wisconsin artist. (Image by Ryan Tipps, AGDAILY)

LOUISVILLE, Kentucky — One of the most show-stopping things on display this week at the National Farm Machinery Show is the Heartland Magnum tractor at the Case IH booth. This one-of-a-kind Magnum was built in Racine, Wisconsin, and honors the 250th anniversary of America’s founding with a stars-and-strips paint scheme.

 ”It’s a tribute to Americana, to the hardworking men and women who use these machines, as well as to the hardworking men and women who build these machines and engineer them,” Matt Booms, a tractor product specialist with Case IH, told AGDAILY. 

Like all Case IH tractors, the Heartland Magnum came off the assembly line in red, but a local artist was commissioned to bring patriotism to the paint. The skillfully done design feels like a natural part of the machine, and the red, white, and blue colors are augmented with strategically integrated contour lines, which depict the land contours of Racine.

But the lines also have a deeper meaning.

 ”The contour lines edge toward what our customers and our growers look at when they’re managing any data weight, whether it’s topography, yield, soil maps, or fertility,” Booms said.

He noted the machine has other subtle design elements, like the red rimming around the wheels, which relates to the red on the wheels from the brand’s autonomous concept tractor a decade ago.

Throughout the years, Case IH has done some special-edition paints or other limited-run machines, and there seems to be no better time to usher in this design than on an anniversary like what the U.S. is celebrating now in 2026. The Heartland Magnum will be on display at shows around the country throughout the calendar year.

💰 PAY IN-TIME FINANCE

This Week in Australian Agriculture: Confidence Building Across the Sector

Momentum across Australian agriculture continues to build this week, with many producers entering the season with renewed confidence and clearer outlooks.

Stronger operational planning is emerging across both cropping and livestock regions as farmers respond to improving seasonal windows and stabilising input supply chains. In several key production areas, favourable conditions are supporting early-season decision-making, allowing growers and graziers to focus on productivity rather than recovery.

Across the industry, investment sentiment remains notably resilient. Many farm businesses are prioritising upgrades that deliver measurable efficiency gains — from newer machinery and transport assets to technologies that improve labour utilisation and operational reliability. Rather than delaying decisions, producers are increasingly adopting a proactive approach aimed at strengthening long-term competitiveness.

Global demand for Australian agricultural products also continues to underpin optimism. Export markets remain active across multiple commodities, reinforcing confidence in production and supporting broader rural economic activity. This external demand is encouraging many operators to think strategically about scale, logistics and output consistency.

At the same time, financial discipline remains central. Farmers are placing greater emphasis on structuring investments in ways that preserve flexibility and align with seasonal income cycles — a shift reflecting both experience and opportunity.

In this environment, specialist finance groups with deep agricultural understanding, including Pay In Time Finance, continue working alongside producers to support equipment, vehicle and infrastructure funding strategies that complement real farm operations.

As the sector moves forward, confidence, preparation and decisive planning remain defining themes across rural Australia.

📰AGRICULTURAL NEWS AUSTRALIA

Aussie cattle farmers dealt a blow as China slaps a cap on beef imports

Australian cattle farmers have been dealt a blow after China announced it would cap beef imports to better protect its own producers.

COVID-era trade ruptures with China had been seemingly repaired in recent years, but 2026 brings fresh frustrations for the beef industry.

"So we have a billion dollars worth of beef that will need to go to other markets," Cattle Australia chair Garry Edwards said.

"This is something that wasn't Australia being singled out. This is a general position that China has put," Albanese said.

Opposition Leader Sussan Ley said the Albanese government should have been able to stop the tariffs from impacting Australian farmers.

"Australia should not be included in any of these arrangements when it comes to restrictions," she said.

Nationals leader David Littleproud called on Albanese and Trade Minister Don Farrell to "make urgent representations to their counterparts in Beijing".

The unexpected upside for Australian consumers is the possibility that more beef not being sold offshore will result in a surplus that needs to be sold domestically, which could cause prices to be cut.

"We may see a reduction in domestic beef prices as a result, because you'll see more high-quality beef available within the domestic market," Edwards said.

Despite the government's talks with China, Albanese says other countries may just get more Australian beef.

"Our products are in great demand right around the world. We expect that will continue to be so," Albanese said.

📅 WEEKLY AUCTION DATES – 2026

1.) 25th February 2026
2.) 1st March 2026

Click here to see the list of upcoming auctions at www.realmgroup.com.au/auctions

📝 FIELD NOTES WITH RD CREATIVE STUDIO

3 Marketing Tasks You Can Systemise in Under a Week

Most rural marketing falls over in the same place: it only happens when there’s spare time. And spare time, as you already know, doesn’t really exist. Not when there’s always something more urgent to attend to on the farm. 

But when marketing depends on mood or availability, it becomes optional. And optional work doesn’t compound. So instead of trying to “do more,” set up a few small systems that remove decision-making from the process. 

Here are 3 marketing tasks you can systemise in under a week.

1. Content Capture Routine

Right now, content probably depends on someone remembering to take a photo.

That’s unreliable.

Pick one rule. After every completed job, take two photos and write one short note about what mattered. Or every Friday, capture five images from the week. Choose the rule and stick to it.

Create one shared folder. Drop everything there. No sorting required.

Marketing improves the moment raw material becomes consistent.

2. Scheduled Posts

Posting manually is where momentum fades.

Choose one day every fortnight. Load two weeks of posts into a scheduler. Meta Business Suite is fine. So is Later.

You’re not aiming for volume. You’re aiming for rhythm.

Once it’s scheduled, it runs without you having to remember.

3. Testimonial Requests

Most good feedback never leaves a text thread.

Build one habit. When a job wraps and the client is satisfied, send a short message with a direct review link. Make the wording standard so you are not rewriting it each time.

If you do not systemise this, you will keep saying “we should get more testimonials” for the next three years.

Stop Leaving Marketing to Spare Time

If marketing only happens when the week is quiet, it won’t happen often. And when it does, it’ll feel rushed and, possibly, a bit forced. 

Once the structure is in place, marketing no longer competes with operations. It runs alongside it.

At RD Creative Studio, this is where we start. We help rural businesses build simple systems around the repetitive work so visibility doesn’t depend on mood or spare capacity. Then, when the engine is steady, you can choose how hard you want to push it.

If you put one of these in place this week, let us know how it goes. And if you’d rather not build it yourself, that’s work we do every day.

🤠 RINGERS FROM THE TOP END (RFTTE)

Gday REALM Readers,

Over the past week, severe flooding across the Barkly and Central Australian cattle country has caused widespread damage, including at Elkedra Station north-east of Alice Springs...

"The waters rose through the house in a matter of hours and well exceeded any flood activity we've had on record in four-generations since the 1940s..." said Amber Driver from Elkedra.

Amber described floodwaters rising to around 2 metres through the homestead, causing extensive damage as an 'extraordinary rain event' delivered between 220mm and 620mm in just 48 hours, more than double the annual average! With only two people currently at the station, Amber's husband, David and her son, Sonny, the immediate focus has been safety, securing food and power, and assessing what can be salvaged as waters recede.

She praised emergency services support but stressed the urgent need for improved weather forecasting/ warnings, noting the Tennant Creek radar has been offline since 2015. Without local Doppler coverage or sufficient rain gauges, station managers had very little awareness of the scale of the rain that was coming.

About 400km south-east of Tennant Creek near the NT-QLD border, Lake Nash Station recorded more than 550mm of rain in some gauges over the weekend, with up to 350mm falling in a single night. Thank you to Natalie Gibson, Assistant Manager at Lake Nash, for the photos above sent through yesterday - 'Ocean Nash' more like it!

We hope the clean up and losses for those properties impacted are not too extensive... with more rain expected, it's likely to be a late start to mustering season in the North for 2026.

Source: NT Country Hour Interview 23 Feb 2026 | LISTEN

Hooroo for now,
Simon Cheatham
Founder RFTTE - The Online Campfire
0417 277 488 | [email protected]

📷 SAMANTHA WATKINS PHOTOGRAPHY

REALM Group Australia is proud to sponsor amateur photographer Samantha Watkins. We've seen her photography skills grow tremendously over the years, and we believe it's the perfect time for her to step into the photography world.

Click on the link to take you to her FB photography page, where you can see her beautiful photos: "Samantha Watkins Photography" on Facebook.
https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=61573116870308

All photos are available for purchase – simply email [email protected], and she will be happy to assist you.

🚨 FEATURED LISTINGS THIS WEEK

Check out our latest machinery, livestock, and equipment listings below. New items are added weekly from farmers across Australia.

(9121) WESTERN STAR 2017 4864 FX - 106 Ton RATED and TRAILERS
(FOR SALE LISTING)

(8773) Hardi Commander 7036
(AUCTION LISTING)

→ View all For Sale listings at www.realmgroup.com.au/listing/for-sale
→ View all Under Auctions at www.realmgroup.com.au/listing/under-auction
→ View upcoming Auctions at www.realmgroup.com.au/auctions

🏘️ YOUR TOWN

Our boy Robbie sure does know how to make an entrance. Here’s some BTS footage from his recent trip to Hong Kong. 🙌

Follow us on Facebook and join ROBBIE’S REALM and tell us why Robbie should come and visit YOUR TOWN!

🎙️ NEW PODCAST - TALKIN' SH*T

Ideas Paddock Podcast - Hosted by Robbie and Ramo. From Fertiliser to Finance - We Tell It Like It Is! Subscribe to YouTube and never miss an episode.

Join the IDEAS PADDOCK community and have your say!

Cheers,

The REALM Group Australia Team

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